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Red230
346768.3
669080.8
95115.0
Blue310
581392.7
2370100.3
13887.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240251100150200300350400450230310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#3
115.00.1
103.1103.1
Auto10.2
Teleop56.4
End48.5
red by 14.7
2370
#12
100.33.1
83.987.0
Auto9.1
Teleop48.8
End42.5
Second
6690
#19
80.80.1
78.078.0
Auto9.5
Teleop35.0
End36.3
blue by 11.9
5813
#15
92.73.1
80.183.2
Auto7.0
Teleop50.0
End35.6
Third
3467
#13
68.30.1
49.849.7
Auto8.5
Teleop41.6
End18.3
blue by 19.5
138
#20
87.83.5
74.377.7
Auto8.9
Teleop42.2
End36.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed