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Red150
454652.5
590246.9
173585.6
Blue115
359743.7
633532.8
15131.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206750100300400150115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#16
85.62.2
81.078.8
Auto12.2
Teleop36.9
End36.5
red by 41.9
3597
#32
43.70.1
39.840.0
Auto3.8
Teleop25.6
End14.3
Second
4546
#17
52.53.7
36.332.6
Auto3.9
Teleop28.7
End19.9
red by 19.7
6335
#39
32.80.1
20.620.7
Auto2.5
Teleop30.9
End-0.5
Third
5902
#29
46.92.2
60.958.6
Auto6.0
Teleop36.9
End4.1
red by 15.0
151
#40
31.90.1
28.428.5
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed