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Red195
495854.5
555687.7
403466.3
Blue291
669080.8
632895.7
1922105.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1872890100400195291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.70.2
83.884.1
Auto3.5
Teleop41.5
End42.7
blue by 17.6
105.31.7
102.9104.6
Auto8.8
Teleop49.6
End46.9
Second
4034
#24
66.30.2
59.759.9
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End31.4
blue by 29.3
6328
#23
95.71.7
85.286.9
Auto15.2
Teleop39.3
End41.1
Third
4958
#25
54.50.4
47.848.2
Auto7.8
Teleop28.6
End18.1
blue by 26.3
6690
#19
80.81.7
72.173.9
Auto9.5
Teleop35.0
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed