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Red236
492554.6
581392.7
490595.9
Blue195
271370.5
669080.8
563342.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254186100300400236195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.2
88.288.4
Auto10.3
Teleop42.6
End43.0
red by 15.1
6690
#19
80.82.7
75.372.6
Auto9.5
Teleop35.0
End36.3
Second
5813
#15
92.70.2
94.895.0
Auto7.0
Teleop50.0
End35.6
red by 22.2
2713
#26
70.52.7
64.862.1
Auto9.1
Teleop37.0
End24.4
Third
4925
#31
54.60.3
50.050.2
Auto7.0
Teleop30.6
End16.9
red by 12.4
5633
#37
42.23.7
45.942.3
Auto5.2
Teleop28.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed