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Red236
172969.1
95115.0
71672.8
Blue307
124774.0
234294.6
23892.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272243100200300400500236307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#3
115.01.2
111.0109.8
Auto10.2
Teleop56.4
End48.5
red by 20.4
94.64.8
82.787.5
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End45.3
Second
716
#30
72.81.2
73.672.3
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End33.1
blue by 19.7
238
#11
92.64.8
86.190.9
Auto11.5
Teleop40.2
End40.9
Third
1729
#22
69.11.2
70.168.9
Auto9.0
Teleop32.1
End28.1
blue by 4.8
74.04.8
66.371.1
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End33.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed