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Red165
213106.1
495854.5
15131.9
Blue207
23892.6
172969.1
50191.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17021250100150250300350165207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#10
106.11.8
94.292.4
Auto12.0
Teleop44.7
End49.3
red by 13.5
238
#11
92.60.6
68.969.5
Auto11.5
Teleop40.2
End40.9
Second
4958
#25
54.53.1
47.744.6
Auto7.8
Teleop28.6
End18.1
blue by 37.4
501
#5
91.90.6
80.481.0
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End38.7
Third
151
#40
31.91.8
25.623.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
blue by 37.3
1729
#22
69.10.6
48.348.9
Auto9.0
Teleop32.1
End28.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed