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Red307
403466.3
131111.6
581392.7
Blue357
2370100.3
1922105.3
71672.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277289100200400500307357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
111.61.0
110.3111.3
Auto14.9
Teleop53.1
End43.6
red by 6.3
105.30.8
102.6103.3
Auto8.8
Teleop49.6
End46.9
Second
5813
#15
92.71.0
91.492.3
Auto7.0
Teleop50.0
End35.6
blue by 7.6
2370
#12
100.30.8
99.5100.3
Auto9.1
Teleop48.8
End42.5
Third
4034
#24
66.31.0
62.463.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End31.4
blue by 6.5
716
#30
72.80.8
70.070.8
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End33.1