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Red310
1011111.6
5499103.8
973142.6
Blue588
254158.2
2767122.0
862120.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389527100200300600700800900310588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
Unranked
142.61.6
144.2142.6
Auto31.3
Teleop61.0
End50.2
blue by 15.6
254
Unranked
158.21.6
156.6158.2
Auto34.4
Teleop71.9
End51.9
Second
1011
Unranked
111.61.6
113.2111.6
Auto13.9
Teleop59.5
End38.2
blue by 10.4
2767
Unranked
122.01.6
120.4122.0
Auto25.3
Teleop66.5
End30.2
Third
5499
Unranked
103.81.6
105.4103.8
Auto14.1
Teleop56.0
End33.8
blue by 16.3
862
Unranked
120.11.6
118.5120.1
Auto15.2
Teleop54.0
End51.0