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Red280
395874.4
2084101.0
9584.0
Blue185
110078.4
151771.1
632476.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260244100150200300350400280185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.00.3
96.096.3
Auto10.2
Teleop38.6
End52.2
red by 22.6
1100
#33
78.41.3
80.979.6
Auto6.6
Teleop38.6
End33.2
Second
95
#6
84.00.3
78.578.8
Auto10.6
Teleop33.1
End40.3
red by 7.8
6324
#24
76.21.0
78.277.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.6
End39.9
Third
3958
#19
74.40.3
68.969.2
Auto9.4
Teleop36.5
End28.5
red by 3.3
1517
#10
71.11.0
73.172.1
Auto5.3
Teleop30.6
End35.2