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Red264
545965.1
573599.5
183188.0
Blue305
7867.5
46786.8
676375.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802330100200400500600264305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.50.5
101.1100.7
Auto9.6
Teleop46.4
End43.5
red by 12.7
467
#9
86.82.1
86.488.4
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End45.8
Second
88.00.4
89.589.1
Auto5.7
Teleop41.0
End41.3
red by 12.4
6763
#21
75.62.1
75.277.3
Auto7.6
Teleop40.3
End27.7
Third
5459
#22
65.10.5
66.966.4
Auto6.9
Teleop36.8
End21.4
blue by 2.4
78
#12
67.51.7
67.268.8
Auto6.5
Teleop42.0
End19.1