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Red90
447361.4
617234.1
50962.1
Blue175
23866.2
130749.0
107379.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174137010020030040090175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#25
62.18.0
53.445.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.7
End30.8
blue by 17.3
1073
#26
79.30.6
43.944.5
Auto9.0
Teleop38.6
End31.8
Second
4473
#16
61.48.0
48.840.8
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End23.6
blue by 4.8
238
#27
66.20.6
54.555.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.6
End27.1
Third
6172
#38
34.18.0
60.152.1
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End4.3
blue by 14.9
1307
#13
49.00.6
46.346.9
Auto7.2
Teleop29.0
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed