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Red170
9584.0
1058102.2
130749.0
Blue135
332361.4
490866.9
545965.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2211570100300400500170135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.24.0
75.571.6
Auto7.7
Teleop56.6
End37.9
red by 35.3
4908
#18
66.92.5
57.454.8
Auto5.2
Teleop33.4
End28.3
Second
95
#6
84.04.0
71.967.9
Auto10.6
Teleop33.1
End40.3
red by 18.9
5459
#22
65.12.5
60.257.7
Auto6.9
Teleop36.8
End21.4
Third
1307
#13
49.04.0
53.349.3
Auto7.2
Teleop29.0
End12.8
blue by 12.5
3323
#36
61.42.5
40.137.5
Auto2.8
Teleop34.0
End24.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed