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Red180
162654.0
22385.4
127988.5
Blue341
19371.7
137083.4
334063.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244225100150200300350400450180341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.51.6
88.887.1
Auto8.5
Teleop44.7
End35.3
red by 5.1
83.42.0
82.684.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End52.0
Second
223
#4
85.41.6
85.784.0
Auto9.6
Teleop37.8
End38.0
red by 13.6
193
#18
71.72.0
70.972.9
Auto5.1
Teleop33.2
End33.4
Third
1626
#21
54.01.6
54.352.7
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End19.7
blue by 9.6
3340
#37
63.62.0
62.864.8
Auto6.5
Teleop34.4
End22.7