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Red185
495472.9
314295.0
167696.5
Blue355
74794.1
21994.3
363783.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289267150200250350400450185355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#15
96.51.9
98.696.7
Auto15.1
Teleop44.2
End37.2
red by 2.1
219
#7
94.31.6
89.190.7
Auto17.2
Teleop44.4
End32.7
Second
95.01.9
97.195.2
Auto7.8
Teleop36.5
End50.7
red by 0.9
747
#8
94.11.6
88.890.5
Auto11.4
Teleop33.0
End49.7
Third
4954
#20
72.91.9
75.173.2
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End27.1
blue by 10.6
3637
#22
83.61.6
78.379.9
Auto5.2
Teleop40.1
End38.2