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Red200
137083.4
531031.1
2168121.7
Blue145
363783.6
26550.9
351538.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191610100300400500200145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.70.0
111.0111.0
Auto16.6
Teleop61.2
End44.0
red by 38.1
3637
#22
83.61.8
69.267.4
Auto5.2
Teleop40.1
End38.2
Second
83.40.0
63.763.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End52.0
red by 32.4
265
#25
50.91.8
56.754.9
Auto5.8
Teleop22.6
End22.5
Third
5310
#32
31.10.0
25.425.4
Auto1.8
Teleop24.8
End4.4
blue by 7.4
3515
#28
38.51.1
35.033.9
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed