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Red223
566637.3
198988.1
10278.0
Blue171
495472.9
428153.0
75250.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19417750100150250300223171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#12
88.12.4
89.591.9
Auto13.1
Teleop33.7
End41.4
red by 15.2
4954
#20
72.90.0
80.380.3
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End27.1
Second
102
#9
78.02.4
62.464.8
Auto6.0
Teleop35.9
End36.1
red by 25.0
4281
#14
53.00.0
47.947.9
Auto10.1
Teleop24.0
End19.0
Third
5666
#36
37.33.5
30.233.7
Auto5.1
Teleop18.0
End14.2
blue by 12.7
752
#26
50.00.0
42.342.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed