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Red285
303103.9
22385.4
403554.0
Blue193
620343.0
495472.9
180790.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237232200220260280285193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#17
103.94.0
97.3101.3
Auto15.5
Teleop43.5
End45.0
red by 13.5
1807
#10
90.41.9
92.190.2
Auto5.8
Teleop40.1
End44.5
Second
223
#4
85.44.0
76.080.0
Auto9.6
Teleop37.8
End38.0
red by 12.4
4954
#20
72.91.9
81.179.3
Auto7.7
Teleop38.1
End27.1
Third
4035
#23
54.04.0
51.655.6
Auto4.9
Teleop37.0
End12.1
red by 11.0
6203
#35
43.01.9
47.745.8
Auto7.1
Teleop29.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed