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Red140
180790.4
465348.3
71448.3
Blue217
351538.5
303103.9
137083.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155184050100200250300350140217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#10
90.40.8
70.469.6
Auto5.8
Teleop40.1
End44.5
blue by 13.5
303
#17
103.93.1
85.288.3
Auto15.5
Teleop43.5
End45.0
Second
714
#31
48.31.3
47.946.6
Auto6.8
Teleop29.6
End12.0
blue by 35.0
83.43.1
58.561.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End52.0
Third
4653
#24
48.30.8
33.132.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.4
End24.2
red by 9.8
3515
#28
38.53.1
27.030.0
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed