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Red235
341100.1
434296.5
203105.9
Blue205
31698.9
365108.2
394192.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360357250300400235205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
blue by 2.2
365
Unranked
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto19.0
Teleop50.6
End38.6
Second
341
Unranked
100.10.0
100.1100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop45.7
End39.9
red by 1.2
316
Unranked
98.90.0
98.998.9
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
Third
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
red by 3.7
3941
Unranked
92.80.0
92.892.8
Auto9.8
Teleop41.0
End42.0