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Red209
341100.1
434296.5
203105.9
Blue167
31698.9
365108.2
394192.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360357200250300400209167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
blue by 2.2
365
Unranked
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto19.0
Teleop50.6
End38.6
Second
341
Unranked
100.10.0
100.1100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop45.7
End39.9
red by 1.2
316
Unranked
98.90.0
98.998.9
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
Third
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
red by 3.7
3941
Unranked
92.80.0
92.892.8
Auto9.8
Teleop41.0
End42.0