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Red285
53382.2
542083.6
622674.7
Blue130
36989.9
747103.8
32163.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265262150200250300285130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5420
Unranked
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto8.3
Teleop37.6
End37.7
blue by 20.2
747
Unranked
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto7.9
Teleop45.7
End50.2
Second
533
Unranked
82.20.0
82.282.2
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End34.8
blue by 7.6
369
Unranked
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto8.7
Teleop46.5
End34.6
Third
6226
Unranked
74.70.0
74.774.7
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End41.3
red by 11.6
321
Unranked
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End19.9