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Red282
203105.9
450564.6
542083.6
Blue165
365108.2
108995.6
171937.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27025150100150200300350400282165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
blue by 2.2
365
Unranked
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto19.0
Teleop50.6
End38.6
Second
5420
Unranked
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto8.3
Teleop37.6
End37.7
blue by 12.1
1089
Unranked
95.60.0
95.695.6
Auto13.0
Teleop41.6
End41.1
Third
4505
Unranked
64.60.0
64.664.6
Auto10.4
Teleop34.6
End19.6
red by 27.4
1719
Unranked
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds