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Red145
394192.8
341100.1
171937.2
Blue265
463886.1
245894.5
137087.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23528904006008001,0001,2001,4001,600145265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
100.10.0
100.1100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop45.7
End39.9
red by 5.6
2458
Unranked
94.50.0
94.594.5
Auto9.5
Teleop38.9
End46.2
Second
3941
Unranked
92.80.0
92.892.8
Auto9.8
Teleop41.0
End42.0
red by 5.4
1370
Unranked
87.30.0
87.387.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End51.4
Third
1719
Unranked
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
blue by 48.9
4638
Unranked
86.10.0
86.186.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.3
End32.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds