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Red255
622674.7
249575.9
27179.5
Blue258
303127.0
53382.2
542083.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23032004006008001,0001,200255258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.9
End37.1
blue by 47.5
303
Unranked
127.00.0
127.0127.0
Auto18.7
Teleop56.7
End51.7
Second
2495
Unranked
75.90.0
75.975.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.5
End32.8
blue by 7.7
5420
Unranked
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto8.3
Teleop37.6
End37.7
Third
6226
Unranked
74.70.0
74.774.7
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End41.3
blue by 7.5
533
Unranked
82.20.0
82.282.2
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End34.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds20%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds