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Red411
341100.1
434296.5
164084.0
Blue205
463783.9
249575.9
203105.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298277100200400500411205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
100.10.0
100.1100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop45.7
End39.9
blue by 5.8
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
Second
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
red by 12.6
4637
Unranked
83.90.0
83.983.9
Auto10.5
Teleop36.5
End36.9
Third
1640
Unranked
84.00.0
84.084.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.4
End40.5
red by 8.1
2495
Unranked
75.90.0
75.975.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.5
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
16%Rotor odds5%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds