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Red256
341100.1
434296.5
203105.9
Blue285
622674.7
542083.6
53382.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732360100200300500600700800256285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
red by 22.4
5420
Unranked
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto8.3
Teleop37.6
End37.7
Second
341
Unranked
100.10.0
100.1100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop45.7
End39.9
red by 17.9
533
Unranked
82.20.0
82.282.2
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End34.8
Third
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
red by 21.8
6226
Unranked
74.70.0
74.774.7
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End41.3