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Red185
255453.4
531033.3
22289.7
Blue135
403529.5
19364.4
75231.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144121050100200250300185135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#3
89.72.9
59.362.2
Auto16.2
Teleop46.1
End27.4
red by 25.3
193
#13
64.41.9
65.567.4
Auto5.5
Teleop35.9
End23.0
Second
2554
#24
53.42.9
42.745.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End29.8
red by 21.6
752
#35DQ
31.81.9
24.326.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End5.3
Third
5310
#32
33.32.9
31.634.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.7
End14.3
red by 3.7
4035
#36
29.51.9
28.330.2
Auto2.7
Teleop28.8
End-2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed