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Red215
55583.7
21973.9
334040.7
Blue165
543832.5
599240.2
573231.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147103050200250300350215165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#4
83.79.1
51.460.5
Auto10.8
Teleop33.1
End39.8
red by 43.5
5992
#11
40.24.0
33.437.4
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End19.1
Second
219
#8
73.99.1
56.365.4
Auto10.6
Teleop40.1
End23.2
red by 41.5
5438
#33
32.54.0
31.235.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.3
Third
3340
#16
40.79.1
25.634.7
Auto5.4
Teleop26.2
End9.1
red by 9.4
5732
#37DQ
31.34.0
39.443.4
Auto0.8
Teleop26.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed