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Red256
255453.4
29386.5
22289.7
Blue264
7583.6
74778.1
140362.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412330100200300400500600700256264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#3
89.70.7
89.089.7
Auto16.2
Teleop46.1
End27.4
red by 6.1
75
#9
83.60.8
83.183.9
Auto7.8
Teleop39.4
End36.5
Second
293
#1
86.50.6
85.886.5
Auto15.4
Teleop43.0
End28.0
red by 8.4
747
#5
78.10.8
77.578.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.3
End48.1
Third
2554
#24
53.40.6
52.753.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End29.8
blue by 8.9
1403
#29
62.30.8
61.762.6
Auto4.2
Teleop35.9
End22.1