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Red306
19394.7
201689.3
1198.0
Blue313
1676120.0
225123.1
33398.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33341602006008001,0001,200306313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#14
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto7.8
Teleop53.0
End37.3
blue by 25.1
225
#7
123.10.0
123.1123.1
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
193
#26
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7
blue by 25.3
1676
#11
120.00.0
120.0120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop58.0
End46.6
Third
89.30.0
89.389.3
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8
blue by 9.0
333
#29
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto11.3
Teleop43.4
End43.5