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Red207
192399.6
172791.7
55598.5
Blue233
201689.3
512355.4
457584.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31722904006008001,0001,2001,400207233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#22
99.60.0
99.699.6
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
red by 10.3
89.30.0
89.389.3
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8
Second
555
#2
98.50.0
98.598.5
Auto8.8
Teleop43.3
End46.4
red by 14.4
4575
#25
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto10.8
Teleop40.8
End32.5
Third
1727
#31
91.70.0
91.791.7
Auto12.5
Teleop37.1
End42.1
red by 36.3
5123
#18
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto4.0
Teleop33.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds