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Red200
33398.2
201689.3
192399.6
Blue216
219110.4
121869.2
1198.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042900100200400500600200216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#22
99.60.0
99.699.6
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
blue by 10.8
219
#13
110.40.0
110.4110.4
Auto13.9
Teleop49.2
End47.4
Second
333
#29
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto11.3
Teleop43.4
End43.5
red by 0.2
11
#14
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto7.8
Teleop53.0
End37.3
Third
89.30.0
89.389.3
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8
red by 20.0
69.20.0
69.269.2
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor odds18%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds