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Red266
436171.6
457584.1
1640102.4
Blue235
19197.3
48479.6
171288.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276275200220240260300320340266235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.40.0
102.4102.4
Auto6.7
Teleop45.9
End49.8
red by 5.1
191
#20
97.30.0
97.397.3
Auto12.9
Teleop40.9
End43.6
Second
4575
#25
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto10.8
Teleop40.8
End32.5
blue by 4.3
1712
#21
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
Third
4361
#17
71.60.0
71.671.6
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End32.2
blue by 8.0
484
#32
79.60.0
79.679.6
Auto12.7
Teleop40.3
End26.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds