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Red286
465370.3
2607102.9
80633.3
Blue165
249575.9
19394.7
457584.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20827704006008001,0001,2001,400286165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
102.90.0
102.9102.9
Auto10.5
Teleop55.1
End37.3
red by 8.2
193
#26
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7
Second
4653
#23
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto7.8
Teleop37.9
End24.6
blue by 13.7
4575
#25
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto10.8
Teleop40.8
End32.5
Third
806
#8
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto2.2
Teleop27.4
End3.6
blue by 42.6
75.90.0
75.975.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.5
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor odds11%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds