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Red310
121869.2
1257111.5
303127.0
Blue165
457584.1
10292.3
225123.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253140100200400500600700310165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#19
127.00.0
127.0127.0
Auto18.7
Teleop56.7
End51.7
red by 3.9
225
#7
123.10.0
123.1123.1
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
1257
#12
111.50.0
111.5111.5
Auto10.3
Teleop52.9
End48.2
red by 19.2
102
#34
92.30.0
92.392.3
Auto8.9
Teleop52.4
End31.1
Third
69.20.0
69.269.2
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3
blue by 14.8
4575
#25
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto10.8
Teleop40.8
End32.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
27%Rotor odds17%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds32%Pressure odds