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Red185
31698.9
436171.6
171288.3
Blue152
1198.0
1257111.5
5895117.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593580200600800185152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#28
98.90.0
98.998.9
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
blue by 18.9
5895
#16
117.80.0
117.8117.8
Auto16.5
Teleop49.8
End51.5
Second
1712
#21
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
blue by 23.2
1257
#12
111.50.0
111.5111.5
Auto10.3
Teleop52.9
End48.2
Third
4361
#17
71.60.0
71.671.6
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End32.2
blue by 26.4
11
#14
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto7.8
Teleop53.0
End37.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds70%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds