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Red322
171288.3
1257111.5
5895117.8
Blue336
1198.0
201689.3
19394.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3573420200400600800322336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#16
117.80.0
117.8117.8
Auto16.5
Teleop49.8
End51.5
red by 19.8
11
#14
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto7.8
Teleop53.0
End37.3
Second
1257
#12
111.50.0
111.5111.5
Auto10.3
Teleop52.9
End48.2
red by 16.7
193
#26
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7
Third
1712
#21
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
blue by 0.9
89.30.0
89.389.3
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8