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Red217
457584.1
36989.9
192399.6
Blue314
1676120.0
225123.1
33398.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30142102006008001,000217314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#22
99.60.0
99.699.6
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
blue by 23.5
225
#7
123.10.0
123.1123.1
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
369
#15
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto8.7
Teleop46.5
End34.6
blue by 30.1
1676
#11
120.00.0
120.0120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop58.0
End46.6
Third
4575
#25
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto10.8
Teleop40.8
End32.5
blue by 14.2
333
#29
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto11.3
Teleop43.4
End43.5