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Red267
465370.3
303129.9
225101.3
Blue445
25105.9
75104.2
192392.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329320150200250300350400450500267445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
129.91.5
132.0130.5
Auto16.3
Teleop54.0
End59.6
red by 24.0
25
#22
105.90.9
106.6107.5
Auto12.7
Teleop48.9
End44.3
Second
225
#6
101.31.5
103.5102.0
Auto16.1
Teleop51.5
End33.8
blue by 2.9
75
#11
104.20.9
105.0105.8
Auto9.8
Teleop45.8
End48.6
Third
4653
#19
70.31.5
72.571.0
Auto7.8
Teleop37.9
End24.6
blue by 22.2
1923
#34
92.60.9
93.394.2
Auto12.6
Teleop43.1
End36.9