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Red182
249575.9
1391101.0
13632.2
Blue252
207050.9
167699.0
11101.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209233100150250300350400182252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
101.01.3
100.198.7
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End40.1
blue by 0.8
11
#2
101.92.2
85.187.3
Auto8.3
Teleop44.4
End49.1
Second
2495
#35
75.91.3
74.473.1
Auto9.6
Teleop33.5
End32.8
blue by 23.1
1676
#16
99.02.2
94.696.8
Auto14.9
Teleop49.6
End34.5
Third
136
#29
32.21.3
27.426.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End5.0
blue by 18.7
2070
#33
50.92.2
38.941.1
Auto4.6
Teleop29.7
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed