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Red322
260070.7
219115.6
540191.2
Blue314
5895103.6
365124.3
316782.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783320100200400500600322314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#4
115.61.1
113.3114.5
Auto17.2
Teleop45.2
End53.2
blue by 8.7
365
#2
124.30.1
123.5123.6
Auto17.6
Teleop52.2
End54.6
Second
91.21.1
88.990.1
Auto13.1
Teleop49.7
End28.5
blue by 12.3
103.60.1
102.8102.9
Auto16.1
Teleop43.7
End43.8
Third
2600
#22
70.71.1
68.469.5
Auto6.9
Teleop29.8
End34.1
blue by 11.3
3167
#23
82.00.1
81.281.3
Auto9.7
Teleop29.9
End42.4