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Red302
260070.7
219115.6
540191.2
Blue205
20391.7
29396.8
171290.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27730305001,0001,5002,000302205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#4
115.60.8
111.7112.5
Auto17.2
Teleop45.2
End53.2
red by 18.9
293
#5
96.81.8
98.596.8
Auto15.7
Teleop46.6
End34.4
Second
91.20.8
87.388.2
Auto13.1
Teleop49.7
End28.5
blue by 0.5
203
#6
91.71.8
93.591.7
Auto13.2
Teleop41.7
End36.8
Third
2600
#22
70.70.8
66.867.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.8
End34.1
blue by 19.5
1712
#24
90.11.8
91.990.1
Auto10.7
Teleop37.5
End42.0