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Red230
164784.6
27297.8
219181.0
Blue289
164088.2
272985.0
219115.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207292100400500230289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#3
97.81.4
81.082.5
Auto8.9
Teleop45.3
End43.5
blue by 17.9
219
#4
115.61.5
96.898.4
Auto17.2
Teleop45.2
End53.2
Second
1647
#31
84.61.4
63.364.7
Auto10.3
Teleop32.3
End42.0
blue by 3.6
1640
#10
88.21.5
82.684.1
Auto6.8
Teleop46.6
End34.7
Third
2191
#11
81.01.4
64.065.4
Auto10.8
Teleop39.7
End30.5
blue by 4.0
2729
#15
85.01.5
86.588.1
Auto5.7
Teleop36.6
End42.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed