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Red258
29396.8
315168.9
31690.8
Blue192
20468.9
164088.2
122860.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772120100400500258192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
96.80.2
96.696.9
Auto15.7
Teleop46.6
End34.4
red by 8.6
1640
#10
88.21.2
82.881.6
Auto6.8
Teleop46.6
End34.7
Second
316
#12
90.80.2
87.387.5
Auto9.4
Teleop42.0
End39.4
red by 21.9
204
#27
68.91.2
67.366.1
Auto10.2
Teleop31.1
End27.6
Third
3151
#35
68.90.2
70.871.0
Auto8.4
Teleop35.7
End24.8
red by 8.1
1228
#26
60.81.2
59.858.6
Auto8.4
Teleop34.0
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed