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Red280
29396.8
121884.2
632763.0
Blue165
8738.4
171290.1
260779.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602280100200300400500280165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
96.80.8
98.499.2
Auto15.7
Teleop46.6
End34.4
red by 6.6
1712
#24
90.13.8
96.392.6
Auto10.7
Teleop37.5
End42.0
Second
1218
#19
84.20.8
82.783.5
Auto9.2
Teleop30.2
End44.8
red by 4.3
2607
#30
79.93.8
82.879.0
Auto9.8
Teleop40.2
End30.0
Third
6327
#28
63.00.9
62.163.0
Auto9.2
Teleop32.8
End21.0
red by 24.5
87
#29
38.43.8
42.238.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed