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Red235
260779.9
428588.8
164784.6
Blue311
540191.2
219115.6
260070.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260287100200400500235311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#13
88.80.3
87.987.5
Auto10.4
Teleop35.8
End42.7
blue by 26.8
219
#4
115.60.9
112.5113.5
Auto17.2
Teleop45.2
End53.2
Second
1647
#31
84.60.3
83.783.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.3
End42.0
blue by 6.6
91.20.9
88.289.1
Auto13.1
Teleop49.7
End28.5
Third
2607
#30
79.90.3
79.078.7
Auto9.8
Teleop40.2
End30.0
red by 9.2
2600
#22
70.70.9
67.668.5
Auto6.9
Teleop29.8
End34.1