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Red255
260779.9
428588.8
164784.6
Blue261
540191.2
219115.6
260070.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263290100200400500255261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#13
88.80.0
88.788.8
Auto10.4
Teleop35.8
End42.7
blue by 26.8
219
#4
115.60.2
113.5113.3
Auto17.2
Teleop45.2
End53.2
Second
1647
#31
84.60.0
84.684.6
Auto10.3
Teleop32.3
End42.0
blue by 6.6
91.20.2
89.288.9
Auto13.1
Teleop49.7
End28.5
Third
2607
#30
79.90.0
79.979.9
Auto9.8
Teleop40.2
End30.0
red by 9.2
2600
#22
70.70.2
68.668.4
Auto6.9
Teleop29.8
End34.1