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Red235
310270.4
375087.2
327574.3
Blue255
448063.2
4539104.7
462386.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402750100200400500600235255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.1
87.187.2
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End31.6
blue by 17.6
104.70.0
104.7104.7
Auto10.2
Teleop51.4
End43.1
Second
3275
#10
74.30.1
74.274.3
Auto6.0
Teleop32.5
End35.8
blue by 12.2
86.50.0
86.586.5
Auto16.1
Teleop34.5
End35.9
Third
3102
#11
70.40.1
70.370.4
Auto7.1
Teleop36.9
End26.3
red by 7.2
63.20.0
63.163.2
Auto4.4
Teleop38.2
End20.6