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Red190
303657.4
329469.7
310270.4
Blue282
375087.2
462386.5
467441.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211207150250300190282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#11
70.40.9
69.668.7
Auto7.1
Teleop36.9
End26.3
blue by 16.8
87.23.5
85.088.5
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End31.6
Second
69.70.9
63.662.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.8
End35.7
blue by 16.8
86.53.5
81.084.5
Auto16.1
Teleop34.5
End35.9
Third
57.40.9
59.758.9
Auto9.3
Teleop38.0
End10.1
red by 15.7
4674
#17
41.73.5
37.941.5
Auto3.8
Teleop30.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed