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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Las Vegas Regional
Red255
585180.1
450195.3
301193.5
Blue305
364797.7
4499104.2
113871.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286284260270280290300310320330255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
#4
95.30.4
96.0→95.6
Auto8.8
Teleop40.3
End46.2
blue by 8.9
4499
#8
104.20.8
102.4→103.2
Auto15.3
Teleop50.6
End38.3
Second
3011
#6
93.50.4
94.1→93.8
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End39.1
blue by 4.2
3647
#13
97.70.8
95.9→96.7
Auto8.1
Teleop51.3
End38.2
Third
5851
#25
80.10.4
80.8→80.4
Auto12.3
Teleop42.0
End25.8
red by 9.0
1138
#29
71.10.8
69.3→70.2
Auto7.0
Teleop38.0
End26.2